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This fall, bettors at BetMGM Sportsbook have discovered two NCAA football numbers related to Michigan college football futures that they are favoring.
Bettors are currently showing more confidence in the Michigan State Spartans, while displaying less faith in the Michigan Wolverines.
BetMGM has already adjusted the line on one of the Big Ten contenders due to significant differences in wagering splits on Michigan and Michigan State in terms of win totals.
Michigan college football futures hot at BetMGM
A significant number of people are placing bets on the over for the 2021 Spartans win totals at BetMGM. It is important for bettors to be aware that this includes wagers from all BetMGM markets.
An astounding 87.8% of bets in the futures market predict that Michigan State will achieve a minimum of six victories in the upcoming 2021 season.
There are only a few splits that show a greater imbalance towards the over in this aspect. This includes 88.9% of people betting on Kansas to exceed 1.5 wins and 88.2% of bets placed on Kentucky to surpass 7 wins.
Another significant disparity in win totals can be seen in the Wolverines’ record. However, in this instance, the majority of bets are placed on the under. Specifically, around 66% of wagers predict that Michigan will win seven games or less.
There is another difference between the Wolverines and the Spartans in terms of the handle. When it comes to Michigan State, the distribution of money is relatively balanced, with 78.2% of the handle being placed on the over. On the other hand, when it comes to Michigan, those betting on the under have placed larger wagers, as 74.6% of the handle supports the under.
Naturally, these breakdowns focus on both the teams’ schedules and the lines. For instance, if BetMGM offered odds of 7 or 8 on the Wolverines, the overall scenario would likely appear distinct.
Bettors’ reactions to the line shift at BetMGM on the Spartans, which initially had Michigan State’s win totals set at 4.5 wins, are exemplified by this breakdown.
Are there any particular games on the schedules that bettors believe the Spartans will win six times and the Wolverines will lose five times? It’s important to note that this is purely subjective, but there are some games that could potentially swing the outcome.
Which games might decide whether BetMGM cleans up
The outcome of the first two Saturdays in October might determine the bettors’ satisfaction, as Michigan State’s chances of achieving six wins heavily rely on the results of those matches.
- On October 2nd, Western Kentucky, known for their strong defense in the previous season, faced offensive challenges. However, their situation has changed with the arrival of a new offensive coordinator and the quarterback he mentored, who achieved an impressive average of over 458 yards and three touchdowns per game last year. As a result, Western Kentucky now poses a significant nonconference threat to Michigan State.
- In the upcoming game on October 9th, Rutgers may not have the advantage of capitalizing on seven Spartan turnovers like they did in their win against Michigan State last year. However, Rutgers has a skilled offensive lineup from last season and a newfound confidence in Greg Schiano’s system.
In terms of Michigan, the possibility of a fifth loss appears to primarily revolve around Big Ten matches. Following their conference home opener against Rutgers, a crucial cross-divisional period emerges.
- On October 2, the Wisconsin Badgers will face off against Michigan. The Badgers have a favorable advantage with the return of several experienced upperclassmen, one of them being receiver Danny Davis III. Michigan’s potential path to victory in this game could be exploiting the tendency of Wisconsin quarterback Graham Mertz to commit turnovers.
- On October 9th, Luke McCaffrey, the running back, and Wan’Dale Robinson, the receiver, decided to transfer from Nebraska. Nevertheless, the Nebraska defense is highly experienced and fully capable of keeping the game competitive.
BetMGM has a higher chance of either making a significant profit or suffering a significant loss due to the outcomes of Michigan and Michigan State’s performances, compared to other teams.
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