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The highly anticipated 2021 NCAA football season is just a few days away, and this time, it will start on schedule. Additionally, the autumn campaigns of Michigan State and Michigan are set to begin in less than two weeks.
In July, we provided you with an update on the betting public’s opinion regarding the Spartans and Wolverines exceeding their respective win totals this autumn.
The divisions between optimism and pessimism were determined by the anticipated goals to achieve, but the initial results were incredibly intriguing nonetheless. Jim Harbaugh’s Michigan team, predicted to win 7.5 games, was one of the most underestimated choices on BetMGM Sportsbook at that time. On the other hand, Mel Tucker and Michigan State set the bar quite low with only 4.5 expected victories, causing a surge of “over” bets in Michigan sports betting.
However, what is the current status? We have received an update.
Wolverines, Spartans no longer over-under outliers
To begin, we’ll address the line-mover. Michigan State’s initial win total of 4.5 has now increased to a solid 5 in most locations. At BetMGM, the odds for this outcome stand at -120 and have remained steady. Surprisingly, over 78% of the total bets placed are in favor of the over, with an astonishing 94% of the total amount wagered also siding with the over.
However, it should be noted that the Southeastern Conference teams, particularly Ole Miss and Kentucky, currently hold the highest number of over bets at the sportsbook.
Michigan’s position at the 7.5 mark remains unchanged, as ticket percentage has now equalized. At BetMGM, the unders have a slight advantage, but only with a majority of 52.2%. On the other hand, the handle indicates a shift in sentiment, with two-thirds of the money forecasting an 8-4 season or greater for the Wolverines.
According to the most recent data released on Monday, Michigan remains within the top three in the under category. However, Nebraska from the Big Ten Conference and perennial powerhouse Alabama have a higher number of under bets.
Week 1 College Football: Michigan, Michigan State openers
For those seeking additional rapid betting coverage on Michigan State before their opening game at Northwestern on September 3rd (which happens to be a Friday!), we recommend exploring our season preview.
Michigan’s key games this fall include their season opener at home against Western Michigan on September 4th, with the Wolverines beginning their season the following day.
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