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To gauge the thriving state of college football in Michigan, one simply needs to observe the inflated pride displayed by fans on social media platforms.
With their upcoming matches against relatively overlooked teams in the Big Ten Conference, Michigan and Michigan State have the advantage of playing on their home turf. If all goes well, both teams could easily secure 4 wins in September, accompanied by noteworthy triumphs.
The path leading to the Oct. 30 meeting in East Lansing may be relatively easy, as the Wolverines will face Wisconsin next weekend in the sole ranked vs. ranked matchup in the upcoming month for the teams from the Great Lakes State.
With the increasing excitement in the air, it’s hard not to believe that our aspirations for a national championship are getting more attainable with each passing week, don’t you think?
Hold on a second, my friends, as Lee Corso from “College GameDay” would famously say.
According to a prominent Michigan sports betting operator, the impressive starts of both Michigan and Michigan State teams have not improved their chances of winning the national title. Despite three consecutive victories and a positive atmosphere throughout the state, these teams are now considered even more unlikely to win the championship.
Michigan, MSU futures odds have both bumped back
Both football programs within the state entered the season with numerous uncertainties.
Last season in Year 1, Mel Tucker made significant progress, particularly highlighted by a victory against the rivals from Ann Arbor. However, there were also some setbacks, including a 2-5 record and numerous transfers joining the team.
Naturally, in Michigan, the continuous lack of significant accomplishments under Jim Harbaugh, along with the equally disappointing 2020 season at 2-4, posed an ongoing concern.
It came as no shock that both teams were considered unlikely contenders for the national title in the preseason. According to BetMGM Sportsbook, Michigan had odds of +5000, while Michigan State had even longer odds of +10000.
Surely those numbers have shortened up after Michigan steamrolled opponents in the Big House and MSU secured a couple of impressive road victories.
Nope. This week at BetMGM, the odds for Michigan were +6600, whereas Michigan State’s odds have shifted to +15000.
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Teams down south skewing all the natty title odds
While the nickname “team down south” is commonly associated with the despised Ohio State Buckeyes, there are a few other southern teams that can be held responsible for the rise in odds.
Despite Michigan and Michigan State’s impressive performances this season, the national spotlight has shifted towards two dominant teams from the Southeastern Conference.
According to Darren Darby, a sports trader at BetMGM, the chances of Michigan and Michigan State winning the College Football Playoff have diminished as Alabama and Georgia emerge as the clear frontrunners.
Once again, Alabama proves their brilliance as expected, with a team full of skilled professionals who have already secured victories against ranked opponents such as Miami and Florida.
In its opener, Georgia achieved the most remarkable victory of the season by defeating Clemson.
The teams are set to clash in the SEC Championship on December 4th, and it’s highly likely that both teams will secure a spot in the playoff if the Tide and Bulldogs continue their winning streaks until then.
According to BetMGM, Alabama’s initial odds of winning it all were +300, but they have now improved to +175. On the other hand, Georgia’s preseason odds were +800, but they have significantly reduced to +350 this week.
Unlikely runs by Michigan, Michigan State would hurt BetMGM
Sportsbooks could face negative consequences if the local teams continue to be successful.
Due to the significant volume of betting activity in Michigan compared to other states, BetMGM’s balance sheets are significantly influenced by the local teams. According to the company, Michigan State poses the highest liability for BetMGM in terms of national championship bets, while Michigan ranks third.
However, when considering the overall perspective, it has been evident for quite some time that there exists a dominant super tier within the college football realm. While Ohio State occasionally finds itself among this elite group, it is consistently the SEC teams that take the lead.
This year seems to be following the same pattern, and bookmakers have promptly adapted to this fact.
Despite the positive sentiment surrounding the Wolverines and Spartans, it remains to be proven that these teams are on par with the best in the game.
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