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Please rephrase the following sentence: “I need to finish my homework before I can go out and play with my friends.”
Tuesday night brought the anticipated news that left Michigan Wolverines football fans overjoyed: Their team is just one win away from entering unexplored territory in modern college football.
After their impressive 42-27 win against Ohio State last Saturday, Michigan, led by Jim Harbaugh, has secured a spot in the Big Ten Conference championship game against Iowa. As a result, they have climbed to the second position in the College Football Playoff rankings for 2021.
In simpler terms, winning by a margin of ten or more points against the Hawkeyes in Indianapolis will secure a place in the national semifinals.
Michigan State (10-2) has completed its regular season, but the Spartans are eagerly awaiting their fate for a New Year’s Six bowl berth as they hold the No. 11 playoff ranking. It’s not just the state of Michigan that has some exciting moments ahead.
Here is a quick summary of the main paths each team will take this weekend.
Michigan vs. Iowa: Big Ten Championship Football Odds
Michigan bowl projections: Playoff, or New Year’s Six
Unless there is a catastrophic defeat and unexpected turmoil, the Wolverines are on a clear trajectory. Even in the worst-case scenario, Michigan will miss the playoffs but still secure a spot in the at-large selections for the New Year’s Six.
If Iowa loses, they will lose the Big Ten’s Rose Bowl slot. However, both Michigan and their bitter rival, the Buckeyes, are expected to be placed in either the Peach Bowl in Atlanta on December 30th or the Fiesta Bowl in greater Phoenix on January 1st.
Securing a victory? Piece of cake. It entails clinching a spot in the College Football Playoff and competing in either the Cotton Bowl, situated near Dallas, or the Orange Bowl, located near Miami, on New Year’s Eve.
It’s quite impressive considering that just last week, the team had national title odds of +4000. Currently, the odds range between +450 and +900 at most legal Michigan sportsbooks.
Michigan State bowl projections: Root for the Wolverines?!
If you’re looking for a straightforward path to one of the prestigious big-money bowl slots, it’s actually not that complicated for newly-extended Mel Tucker and his Spartans. Surprisingly, even Michigan fans (gulp) should consider supporting them.
It is highly likely that if Iowa makes it to the Rose Bowl, Michigan and Ohio State will secure two of the four remaining at-large spots in the New Year’s Six. As they avoid matching conference opponents, the big bowl will be out of the picture. Instead, they would head to the Citrus Bowl in Orlando, Florida on January 1st.
If Michigan wins, it will prevent the Hawkeyes from qualifying for the New Year’s Six. Instead, the Wolverines will secure a spot in the playoff, while Ohio State will head to the Rose Bowl. As a result, Michigan State becomes a probable choice for one of the remaining at-large games.
Just be aware that if you are supporting the opposing team within the state, expect to end up in a slightly less prestigious postseason location.
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