Can Michigan State Pull Off Another Underdog Victory Vs. No. 4 Ohio State?

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Written By Drew Ellis on December 1, 2020Last Updated on April 26, 2022
ohio state vs. msu

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Over the years, Michigan State has achieved remarkable victories, with some of the most notable ones being against Ohio State.

This Saturday, the Spartans are eagerly anticipating the opportunity to conjure up some magic once more as they welcome the Buckeyes for a Noon ET showdown.

It could be quite challenging at this point, considering the circumstances, but Ohio is currently facing a shortage of staff.

Are the Spartans capable of dealing with the challenge of being a significant underdog against the Buckeyes?

Ohio State vs. MSU odds: Buckeyes heavily favored

Let’s take a more detailed look at the upcoming Big Ten college football matchup for this week.

  • Ohio State, ranked No. 4 and holding a perfect 4-0 record in the Big Ten, will face off against Michigan State, who currently stands at 2-3 in the conference and overall.
  • Date and Time: Saturday, December 5th at 12:00 PM Eastern Time.
  • The location is Spartan Stadium, situated in East Lansing.
  • Tune in to ABC to catch the live broadcast of the game.

It is unanimous among oddsmakers that Ohio State is the overwhelming favorite. The majority of them have designated the Buckeyes as a 23.5-point favorite on the road against the Spartans. However, BetMGM Sportsbook stood out on Wednesday by offering odds of 21.5 points, although the odds heavily favored Ohio State at -143. BetMGM has now adjusted its odds to align with the rest, settling at 23.5 points.

The odds were last updated on Thursday, December 3rd at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Ohio State at Michigan State Week 14 odds BetMGM DraftKings FanDuel PointsBet William Hill
Point spread
(-110 juice unless noted)
OSU -23.5
MSU +23.5
OSU -24 -109
MSU +24 -112
OSU -23.5 -115
MSU +23.5 -105
OSU -23.5
MSU +23.5
OSU -23.5
MSU +23.5
Moneyline OSU -1600
MSU +850
OSU -2500
MSU +1050
OSU -2200
MSU +980
OSU -2299
MSU +1200
OSU -2800
MSU +1200
Total points
(-110 juice unless noted)
O 59.5
U 59.5
O 59.5 -112
U 59.5 -109
O 59.5 -108
U 59.5 -112
O 59.5
U 59.5
O 59.5
U 59.5

Ohio State has a significant moneyline range, with odds varying from -2200 to -4000. On the other hand, Michigan State’s moneyline ranges from +980 to +1400.

The initial consensus on the over/under was 59.5 points, but there have been slight adjustments since then.

Here’s where you can bet on Ohio State vs. MSU

Greektown Casino, MGM Grand Detroit, and MotorCity Casino in Detroit have been closed as per the three-week COVID-19 pandemic closure order. Additionally, a few tribal casinos have also chosen to shut down.

Although there are limitations on betting locations for college football within the state, there are still alternative choices available.

  • William Hill is located in Turtle Creek.
  • William Hill operates the Leelanau Sands Casino.
  • The Kambi, also known as Four Winds, is located in Dowagiac, Hartford, and New Buffalo.
  • Parx, also known as Gun Lake Casino.
  • Sci Games’ FireKeepers Casino
  • BetAmerica (Island Resort & Casino)
  • The Odawa Casino, located in Petoskey and Mackinaw City, is also known as Fox Bet.

While there have been positive developments in online sports betting, it is important to note that it is still an ongoing process. The current estimates suggest that it will be available by mid-to-late December or early 2021. Stay updated on the latest developments here.

Buckeyes lead all-time series with Spartans

Despite Michigan State’s few notable victories in this series, Ohio State holds a significant advantage with a 33-15 record in the all-time history.

The Buckeyes have emerged victorious in their last four encounters, with the last three victories being secured by a margin of at least 20 points.

In the last five meetings, the under bet has been successful for Michigan sports bettors, consistently scoring in these matchups.

In their previous 16 Big Ten games, Ohio State has recorded a solid 11-5 record against the spread.

In their last 17 games at home, Michigan State has had a difficult time covering the spread, with a record of 3 wins and 14 losses against the spread.

Buckeyes in desperation mode to play

Due to a COVID-19 outbreak within the program, Ohio State was compelled to cancel its game against Illinois last weekend.

On November 14, the Buckeyes’ game against Maryland was canceled. If Ohio State is unable to play against MSU this weekend or Michigan next weekend, they will not be eligible to participate in the Big Ten Championship Game.

Head coach Ryan Day was among the individuals who tested positive for the virus.

Starting Monday, Ohio State has recommenced team activities for players who are not in quarantine or isolation. Nonetheless, all meetings are being carried out virtually.

Ohio State boasts one of the most formidable offenses in the country this season. The Buckeyes consistently score an impressive average of 45.3 points and gain a remarkable 535.3 yards per game, placing them among the top 10 teams in the nation in both categories.

The 2020 season statistics of Justin Fields showcase 1,208 passing yards and 13 touchdowns. Additionally, he has accumulated 135 rushing yards and three scores. DraftKings Sportsbook has assigned Fields a +1000 odds to emerge as the victor of the 2020 Heisman Trophy.

Spartans pull off another upset

Michigan State has once again defied the odds and emerged victorious as a double-digit underdog, marking their second such triumph of the season.

On October 31, the Spartans pulled off a surprising victory over Michigan, winning 27-24 despite being considered 21.5-point underdogs. Just last weekend, they continued their impressive streak by defeating Northwestern, who had remained undefeated until then, with a score of 29-20. This time, despite being labeled as 13.5-point underdogs on their home ground, the Spartans emerged victorious once again.

The MSU defense was the star of the victory narrative. Dominating the game, the Spartans limited the Wildcats to a mere 285 total yards, with a meager 63 rushing yards. Not stopping there, MSU also showcased their prowess by forcing four turnovers, as Shakur Brown intercepted two passes.

Rocky Lombardi, who had been benched the previous week, was given the opportunity to start against the Wildcats. In the game, he managed to throw for 167 yards and two touchdowns. Nevertheless, his passing accuracy was only 11 out of 27 attempts.

In his upcoming game, Lombardi aims to achieve success against an Ohio State passing defense that has a national ranking of 116th, allowing an average of 290.3 yards per game.

In order to limit the Ohio State offense’s time on the field, it will be crucial to emphasize rushing the ball. Last Saturday, the Spartans managed to accumulate 195 yards by carrying the ball 47 times against Northwestern.

Despite being significantly impacted by COVID-19, Ohio State remains favored in this game. However, being the underdog seems to suit MSU quite well.

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