DraftKings’ Johnny Avello Talks Handicapping Michigan Vs. Hawaii, MSU Popularity In Opener

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Written By Dave Bontempo on September 8, 2022

Oh, the cost of being virtuous.

Michigan sports bettors, prepare to witness a weekend of absolute dominance as the state’s formidable college football teams take center stage.

Take pleasure in it while you can, as it might be challenging to come across a decent bet.

Sportsbook odds predict that there will be one-sided victories for Michigan against Hawaii and Michigan State against Akron, leaving bettors to contemplate exploring alternative game options.

As of Thursday morning, the total points given by both nationally-ranked teams amount to 86. Michigan, ranked fourth, is offering a significant 51.5-point advantage to Hawaii, while Michigan State, ranked 14th, is favored by 34.5 points against Akron.

This week, bettors won’t find many enticing options, except for the Michigan game with a total of 67 at -115 odds and the over-under of 56 for the Michigan State game available at DraftKings Sportsbook MI.

However, this is the norm in early September for college football. Blowouts are to be expected. Therefore, when the top-ranked Alabama team visits Texas with a spread of -19, it is considered a relatively close game. The more significant matchups will occur later in the season.

To access this week’s college football odds, please click here.

Michigan football spread a tough pill for bettors

Those who are placing bets on Michigan football might be seeking alternative choices or considering this game as a reference point for the future. It is intriguing that despite giving more than seven touchdowns, the majority of early predictions favor Michigan. Hawaii has encountered a significant deficit of 112-27 in their previous two games and allowed 63 points against Vanderbilt in their first match.

What is Michigan’s desired margin of victory? Coach Jim Harbaugh is utilizing this week to assess the quarterback skills of both Cade McNamara and J.J. McCarthy.

Last week, McNamara kicked off his debut in Michigan’s game against Colorado State, leading to an impressive 51-7 victory.

This week belongs to McCarthy.

Bettors lack knowledge regarding his preferred targets, tendencies, and inclination towards running or passing. Additionally, they are uncertain about the duration he and other starters will be playing.

“Getting a prop up for a game like this is a challenge,” said Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, in an interview with Playinmichigan. “While it’s expected that Michigan will come out victorious, and likely by a significant margin, the uncertain factor lies in when they will ease up on their dominance.”

If certain props are placed on the board later in the week, they might have a good chance of winning. For instance, Hawaii had a total of eight turnovers, including a Pick 6, during their 49-17 defeat against Western Kentucky. Therefore, props related to a defensive score by Michigan, interceptions, or the length of a scoring play could be quite appealing.

Avello mentioned that observing Michigan’s performance in the first half will help determine if the point spread of -32.5 is suitable. However, once Michigan moves past this phase of the season, they will face challenging opponents and bring in substantial profits for us.

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McCarthy or McNamara? Harbaugh still deciding Michigan starting QB

Prior to that occurrence, Harbaugh will ensure that his quarterbacks are organized and prepared.

Last year, McNamara’s pass completion rate was 64.2%, completing 210 out of 327 passes, resulting in 2,576 yards, 15 touchdowns, and six interceptions. He successfully led his team to the College Football Playoff semifinal, but unfortunately, they were defeated by the ultimate champion, Georgia, with a score of 34-11. McNamara is known for his strong throwing ability and excellent awareness in the pocket.

McCarthy, aiming to solidify his position as the starter this week, possesses notable running abilities as well.

Harbaugh intends to announce a starter following this game, allowing the victor to gain experience against Connecticut next week before settling into the challenging part of the schedule.

In any case, it is probable that both quarterbacks will need to be prepared.

Michigan is in pursuit of its first national championship since 1997. The pivotal point in their schedule arrives on September 24th when they face off against Maryland. They will also have significant matchups against Iowa and Penn State in the early part of October, followed by the highly anticipated Michigan-Michigan State game on October 29th.

Michigan State also a big draw for bettors

Michigan State is a popular team, closely following Michigan in terms of popularity. Ranked 14th in the nation, the Spartans are set to face Akron in a game that heavily favors them.

Similar to the Wolverines, there is a significant amount of popularity when it comes to betting on the Spartans.

According to Avello, bettors were particularly impressed with their season-opening victory over Western Michigan, which ended in a score of 35-13 on September 2nd.

“Last week, both teams performed impressively among the gamblers,” stated Avello. “Michigan emerged as one of the top 10 most wagered games last Saturday, while Michigan State’s match against Western Michigan on Friday night took the lead as the most heavily bet game across baseball and various other sports.”

Given that Western Michigan was the opponent, it was a remarkably worthwhile expenditure. I must admit, I was somewhat taken aback that this emerged as the standout game of the evening.

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