Aaron Rodgers Vs. Lions? A Blowout. Rodgers Vs. Detroit Bettors? A Prize Fight.

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Written By Matt Schoch on September 17, 2021Last Updated on September 20, 2021
Aaron Rodgers Lions September 2021

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Detroit Lions fans can be forgiven for harboring hopes this offseason that Aaron Rodgers would indeed be relocating.

Since the spring, there have been rampant rumors and leaks surrounding the star quarterback of the Green Bay Packers. Eventually, Rodgers has seemingly found his place and is currently set to play what is currently believed to be his last season with the team in their iconic green and gold colors.

As the highly acclaimed athlete aims to make a comeback on Monday night against the Lions, we decided to reflect on Aaron Rodgers’ history of dominating Detroit, and the significant hardships experienced by those engaged in Michigan sports betting as well.

Recently, Lions’ bettors have been performing exceptionally well.

Aaron Rodgers has dominated the Lions, obviously

As you may be aware, or at least speculated, Rodgers has consistently outperformed the struggling Lions throughout his tenure in Wisconsin.

Rodgers assumed the role of starting quarterback for the Packers in 2008, following three years of providing backup support to Brett Favre. Notably, this occurred just a year before the Lions selected Matthew Stafford in the draft.

Do you recall 2008, Lions’ fans?

Following that, Rodgers has an impressive record of 17 wins and 5 losses, giving him a remarkable winning percentage of .773, when starting games against Detroit.

Rodgers’ winning percentage against non-Lions teams in regular-season starts is 112-63-1, which is notably lower than his impressive .786 winning percentage against the Lions.

Chicago is the only team Rodgers has consistently outperformed in the regular season, with a remarkable record of 20-5 (.800) against them. He has also been highly successful against the Giants and Rams, boasting a similar winning percentage of 4-1 (.800) against them. However, when it comes to efficiency, no team has been haunted more by Rodgers than Detroit, as he has bested them in at least four matchups.

Lions’ bettors doing a little better than Lions

According to research conducted at Covers.com, it has been found that Detroit has managed to cover the spread in five of their losses against Rodgers. This information includes three of the games that contribute to Green Bay’s current four-game winning streak over Detroit.

Surprisingly, the Lions managed to secure a four-game winning streak against Green Bay in the past. However, it’s worth noting that during that period, Rodgers was absent for two of those games and only threw a mere five passes before being substituted for rest in another.

In summary, Rodgers has a record of 12 wins and 10 losses against the spread when facing Detroit.

  • The oddsmakers’ ability to handicap these games appears to be commendable.
  • The matchup between the struggling Lions and the highly-regarded Rodgers should be carefully analyzed beyond its surface level.

In 22 meetings, Rodgers has been considered an underdog on only two occasions against Detroit. Unfortunately, he experienced defeat in both of these early-season away games at Ford Field, which occurred in 2014 and 2018.

Since 2008, there have been four instances where Rodgers was unable to play against Detroit due to injury or rest. Interestingly, in all four of these games, the Lions were considered the favorites. Out of these matches, Detroit emerged victorious in three of them.

With Green Bay appearing less stable than Detroit in their previous game, there is a possibility for the Lions to level the playing field against Rodgers, especially considering this might be his last season in the NFC North.

The bad beat to end all bad beats in 2015

That’s not to imply that Lions’ bettors haven’t experienced significant pain during the Rodgers’ era.

Known as the Miracle in Motown, the quarterback’s incredible throw to Richard Rogers during a Thursday night game in 2015 is considered one of the most devastating losses in betting history.

In case you miraculously forgot, and it’s highly unlikely if you had bet on the Lions +2.5, Green Bay was granted an additional opportunity due to a facemask penalty against Detroit’s Devin Taylor on the final play.

Coach Jim Caldwell implemented a perplexing defensive strategy, and fate ultimately triumphed.

Detroit’s three-game win streak, which held great promise, came to an end, thereby extinguishing any slim hopes of making the playoffs and marking yet another disappointing season for the Lions.

Many supporters of the Honolulu blue also contributed funds.

Where’s Aaron Rodgers going to play next season?

It is plausible that Rodgers might find a way to remain with Green Bay. However, there is also the possibility that he could retire and take on the role of hosting Jeopardy! by this time next year. Yet, it is more probable that he will be playing as a quarterback for another team.

During the offseason, the Denver Broncos were frequently linked to Rodgers.

If the quarterback were to be moved by Green Bay this offseason, betting odds in Colorado indicated that Denver was the favored option, with even odds.

Currently, there are no odds posted for next year’s sportsbooks. However, Ian St. Clair, a knowledgeable source on the Broncos and Colorado sports betting, believes that the Broncos are the favored option for Rodgers’ next move. He also suggests that Philadelphia and Las Vegas could be potential destinations.

St. Clair stated that the outcomes of the Broncos and Raiders will heavily influence the situation. If Teddy Bridgewater performs admirably and guides Denver to the playoffs, Broncos GM George Paton might opt to retain Bridgewater.

More beatings coming? Broncos, Eagles, Raiders in Lions future

When looking at the Lions’ future schedules outside their division, Detroit will be hosting Philadelphia next year but will not be facing Denver or Vegas (unless they meet in the Super Bowl, naturally…).

In 2025, the Lions will be facing off against Denver and Las Vegas, as well as a team from the NFC East, which is home to Philadelphia. The specific NFC East team is yet to be determined.

There is a possibility that Detroit may have a favorable situation by 2025, despite an upcoming NFC East game. Additionally, it is uncertain where the 37-year-old Rodgers will be at that time.

However, it’s highly likely that he will consistently defeat the Lions, even though you could potentially secure some points.

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