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Can you please rewrite the following sentence or provide more context?
Tonight’s game is giving you a positive vibe.
Your preferred team is poised to exceed the predicted point difference and essentially single-handedly surpass the expected total score. Their prominent player is expected to have a remarkable performance, while the star of their rival team is likely to be effectively neutralized.
You are extremely confident in your decision to combine all of these bets using the same-game parlay feature offered by your favorite sportsbook. By doing so, you are aiming to secure a significantly larger sum of money compared to what you would gain by placing individual bets on each of them.
However, are you receiving the most favorable odds for this incredible wager?
In order for Michigan sports bettors to determine this, they need to consult numerous books to identify the most beneficial payout for this bet. Regrettably, this process requires substantial effort.
I have some good news to share: I took the initiative to conduct some work on your behalf. Specifically, I tested same-game parlays across five different sportsbooks, aiming to identify which one consistently provides the most favorable odds.
Unfortunately, I have to deliver some unsatisfactory news. Although both Caesars and FanDuel had their own merits, I couldn’t identify a clear winner. Consequently, the responsibility still falls on you to put in the effort.
How do same game parlays work?
Adding same-game parlays to their offerings was an obvious decision for sportsbooks, as player props gained popularity, partly driven by the familiarity with fantasy sports.
Sports bettors in Michigan are undoubtedly acquainted with single-game parlays, as they are frequently promoted by sportsbooks in a significant manner.
Why? It’s an extremely secure choice for them. According to BetMGM CEO Adam Greenblatt, the profit margins for their one-game parlay bets exceed 30%, while sportsbooks usually operate with margins ranging from 10-12%.
Sports bettors can utilize the feature to combine various bets from a single game and create a parlay, resulting in increased odds and a potentially larger payout.
Sportsbooks have made it quite convenient for users to navigate through the process. Although the model and wording may differ, the user experience generally consists of selecting a particular game and opting for the same-game parlay feature.
All available bets are offered for selection, allowing you to create a parlay with a minimum of two bets. If you prefer to stick with just two bets, that’s completely acceptable. However, if you wish to include 26 different outcomes, you are welcome to do so, but it may prove challenging.
Which Michigan sportsbook offers the best same game parlay odds?
Due to the lengthy data section, I will jump straight to the conclusions.
The same-game parlay odds offered by the five sportsbooks I utilized in this exercise (DraftKings Sportsbook MI, BetMGM Michigan, Caesars Sportsbook MI, FanDuel Sportsbook MI, and PointsBet Sportsbook MI) were frequently quite similar.
Whenever there was an exception, Caesars or FanDuel consistently emerged as the top contenders, offering the most substantial prizes to bettors.
Caesars had minimal odds variance for smaller parlays, but stood out on a few occasions. On the other hand, when the parlays grew, FanDuel had the advantage.
Regardless of the situation, if you have a same-game parlay that you are confident about, it is advisable to check multiple sportsbooks for the best odds. However, be prepared to put in some effort as the lines can differ among sportsbooks, and discovering the most favorable option may involve some research.
However, I did notice a particular trend: FanDuel appeared to be utilizing actual mathematical calculations. Unlike the other four sportsbooks, which consistently ended their odds in multiples of 5 or 0, regardless of the parlay size I created, FanDuel only had one instance where the odds landed on such straightforward numbers.
Another interesting point to consider regarding single-game parlays (or parlays in general) is that the calculations behind them remain a mystery. We are completely reliant on the bookmakers’ methodology, which may not be an ideal situation to be in.
Finding the best same game parlay odds
I was once advised by a wise individual that going to Taco Bell is not worthwhile unless you order a minimum of three items. Inspired by this valuable counsel, I incorporated it into my experiment by ensuring I selected at least three options for all my parlays.
Here are the parlays I compiled, fortunately without placing any actual bets on them, as none of them were successful. Additionally, I have included the odds from each sportsbook and some accompanying notes.
To minimize any discrepancies, I examined all of these simultaneously on a daily basis.
Monday, Jan. 24
The Phoenix Suns are favored by 11.5 points against the Utah Jazz, with the total points expected to be over 220.5. Additionally, it is predicted that Devin Booker will score more than 27.5 points.
- The odds for PointsBet are +400.
- The DraftKings odds show a positive value of +500.
- BetMGM is offering odds of +500.
- FanDuel: Plus four hundred fifty-two.
- Caesars: Not applicable.
I was unable to include Booker’s points at Caesars, and the reason remains unknown to me. It was quite a disappointing beginning, but Caesars managed to compensate for it later on.
Tuesday, Jan. 25
The Detroit Pistons are given a +7 point advantage in their game against the Denver Nuggets. The predicted total score of the game is under 217 points. It is expected that Nikola Jokic will score over 26.5 points in the game.
- The FanDuel number is 799.
- The odds for Caesars are +750.
- The betting odds for DraftKings are +700 for a combined score of 217.5 and a spread of 7.5.
- PointsBet has set the over/under for Jokic at 25.5 points and the odds for the over are +700.
- There is no information available for BetMGM.
Only DraftKings included the extra element in the spread and total that evening, significantly impacting the odds. I take responsibility for the Pointsbet Jokic disparity, and BetMGM caused me considerable frustration for two consecutive nights.
Wednesday, Jan. 26
The betting line for the Suns vs Jazz game is Suns favored by 1 point, with the total points expected to be over 223.5. Additionally, the prediction for Booker’s points is under 28.5.
- The odds for Caesars are +900.
- Pointsbet has odds of +900.
- FanDuel is reporting a positive gain of 778.
- The odds for DraftKings to win by a margin of -1.5 are +900.
- There is no information available for BetMGM.
Once more, I encounter the snag on DraftKings, and yet again, MGM presents me with problems.
Thursday, Jan. 27
The Golden State Warriors are favored by 6.5 points against the Minnesota Timberwolves, with the total score predicted to be under 229.5. Additionally, it is expected that Stephen Curry will score over 24.5 points in the game.
- The odds for BetMGM are +525.
- The DraftKings odds are +525.
- FanDuel: 535 plus
- The odds for PointsBet are +500.
- The value of Caesars has increased by 675.
This is the first instance where we encounter a notable anomaly. Caesars provided me with a +145 advantage over the closest competitor in a relatively straightforward parlay. Although it would have resulted in a loss, the potential payout from a $20 wager at Caesars would have been $155, whereas it would have been $120 at PointsBet.
Friday, Jan. 28
In the Pistons versus Magic game, the Pistons are favored by 3.5 points. It is predicted that Franz Wagner will score more than 16.5 points, Cade Cunningham will provide over 6.5 assists, Isaiah Stewart will grab more than 7.5 rebounds, and Mo Bamba will make at least one 3-pointer.
- The FanDuel score is +2123.
- The odds at DraftKings are +1500.
- BetMGM has odds of +1500.
- Caesars has set the odds for Cunningham to record over 5.5 assists at +1500.
- The odds offered by PointsBet are +1400.
I came to the conclusion that I should probably include more options to test this theory. However, I must admit that the challenges I faced during the initial days made me hesitant to go overboard. The only difference in the bets was that Caesars had Cade Cunningham’s assists set at 5.5 instead of 6.5, which is not a trivial change. Additionally, there was a discrepancy in the wording of Mo Bamba’s 3-pointers, as some books stated it as 1+ while others used o/u 0.5. Nevertheless, regardless of the wording, a single three-pointer from Bamba would result in a victory.
However, the main point to highlight is that FanDuel is offering significantly better odds. While Cunningham’s assists would have narrowed the gap for Caesars, it seems unlikely that they would have increased the odds by 600.
Sunday, Jan. 30
The upcoming AFC title game presents some interesting betting opportunities. Currently, the Cincinnati Bengals are listed as +7.5 underdogs, which means they have a 7.5 point advantage against their opponents. Additionally, it seems like a good bet to expect Tyreek Hill to score a touchdown at any time during the game. Furthermore, it’s worth considering placing a wager on Joe Burrow surpassing either 299.5 or 300+ passing yards, as he has been performing exceptionally well. Lastly, Travis Kelce is likely to have a productive game in terms of receiving yards.
- The odds for Kelce’s performance in DraftKings are +950 with a projected score of 74.5.
- FanDuel: Kelce’s player prop is set at over 70, offering +937 odds.
- Kelce’s odds of scoring 75+ points are +950 according to BetMGM.
- According to Caesars, the odds for the game between the Bengals and their opponents is set at +1200. Additionally, the Bengals are given a 7-point advantage, while Joe Burrow is projected to have 291.5 passing yards and Travis Kelce is expected to have 77.5 receiving yards.
- The points spread for Kelce’s total yards is set at +1000 (75.5).
There is a significant difference in the numbers, particularly when it comes to Kelce’s receiving prop, and Caesars stands out for a few reasons. The main one being that I was unable to adjust the line to +7.5 like the others, which is a major factor. Interestingly, the alternate line slider only offered a jump from 5.5 to 8.5. So, while Caesars did have better odds in this case, the half point difference (which ultimately didn’t impact the outcome) played a significant role in the disparity.
Wednesday, Feb. 2
The point spread for the Blazers vs. Lakers game is Blazers +3.5. We predict that C.J. McCollum will score the first basket of the game. Jusuf Nurkic is expected to score under 16.5 points and grab over 12.5 rebounds. Additionally, McCollum is expected to make over 2.5 three-pointers.
- FanDuel: +9177 with the first basket, +1205 without the first basket.
- DraftKings offers +4000 odds on a bet, which can increase to +900 odds if the first basket is excluded.
- BetMGM offers odds of +5000 (+875 without the first basket).
- Caesars: +1400 (excluding the initial basket)
- PointsBet: +900 (excluding the first basket)
Since there was no apparent victor after my initial six days, I decided to attempt one more on the previous Wednesday. Unfortunately, this only further complicated the situation.
Adding C.J. McCollum as the first scorer had a significant impact on the odds, as evident. Unfortunately, I could not include this bet in my Caesars or Pointsbet parlays. Therefore, I excluded it from the remaining bets to ensure a fair comparison. Caesars offered the best odds for the simpler parlay, but FanDuel’s odds surpassed those of MGM and DraftKings once the first basket was included.
If you had placed a $20 bet on the entire event at FanDuel, you would have received a return of $1,855.40. On the other hand, if you had chosen DraftKings, they would have paid out $820.
If Caesars and PointsBet had allowed McCollum to score the first basket at +750, it could have had a significant impact for both companies.
However, what purpose does it serve if you are unable to?
Please rewrite the original sentence or provide more context for me to rewrite it.
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