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Despite the challenging week for the Detroit Tigers, Michigan sports bettors remain enthusiastic about the potential of the young star Casey Mize.
Despite snapping a five-game losing streak on Wednesday night, the Tigers’ current record of 7-11 entering Thursday has already prompted fans to focus on the future.
Nevertheless, the ex-top draft pick is garnering attention at the betting counter.
Mize getting nearly half of one sportsbook’s AL Cy Young wagers
It is evident that Tigers fans have a positive outlook on Mize for the upcoming 2021 MLB season.
According to the most recent data from BetMGM Sportsbook, Mize is significantly leading the 2021 AL Cy Young race, with the highest number of bet tickets placed on him as the prospective winner.
Despite receiving 47% of the bets in the category, Mize’s odds listed by BetMGM remain unchanged at +5000.
The favored player to win is Gerrit Cole from the New York Yankees, with odds of +300. Following closely is Shane Bieber, the starting pitcher for the Cleveland Indians, with odds of +350. Tyler Glasnow, from the Tampa Bay Rays, has odds of +600.
Cole’s share of the tickets is the second-highest, amounting to 16.3% of the total.
Despite having nearly half of the wagers, Mize’s share of the handle is only 6.8%. This ratio suggests that the majority of bets consist of small amounts, possibly originating from the fan base who are hoping to profit from the high odds.
Despite having only 16% of the tickets, Cole is responsible for a remarkable 80.3% of the handle.
Sportsbooks still see Cole as the primary risk, while Mize is the second highest concern in the Cy Young race.
Regular season better than spring for Casey Mize
After a challenging spring training, Mize’s regular season has brought forth a considerable amount of optimism.
Up to this point, Mize has had three starts and holds a record of 1 win and 1 loss, accompanied by a 3.38 ERA.
Mize’s performance during spring training was subpar, with a disappointing 7.23 ERA and 1.77 WHIP throughout 18.2 innings of play. Despite managing to strike out 27 batters, he also had a notable count of 11 walks.
In his debut against the Minnesota Twins, Mize kicked off the regular season with a solid performance, pitching for four innings. He showcased his skills by only allowing one earned run on five hits, while striking out four batters and issuing two walks.
His best performance so far was on April 12 when he faced the Houston Astros. Mize pitched seven innings without allowing a single run, giving up only four hits and two walks while striking out five batters. This outstanding performance resulted in his only win up to this point.
Mize encountered his inaugural defeat on the previous Saturday, surrendering five runs on seven hits over five innings. The Oakland Athletics managed to hit three home runs off him, while he only struck out four batters.
Mize’s expertise lies in strikeout performances, yet his tally of only 13 strikeouts across three games falls short of even ranking among the top 50 in MLB.
Uphill climb toward Cy Young Award
Sportsbooks most likely have no reason to worry about Mize winning the AL Cy Young.
In terms of initial performance and team composition for the upcoming postseason in 2021, there are other contenders who possess significantly superior statistics and are part of more well-constructed teams.
Cole, the current frontrunner, holds an impressive 2-1 record with a stellar 1.82 ERA and an outstanding 39 strikeouts compared to only three walks. These statistics surpass Mize’s performance, and Cole’s established reputation gives him an added advantage.
Bieber, who clinched the 2020 AL Cy Young award, has begun the season with a record of 2 wins and 1 loss. Impressively, he boasts an outstanding 48 strikeouts in just 29.1 innings, the highest in the league. Additionally, he maintains an impressive 2.45 ERA.
Glasnow, who is also a top contender, boasts an impressive ERA of 0.73 in his four starts, with an outstanding 36 strikeouts and only seven walks.
Given Mize’s youth and his team’s lack of competitiveness, he would need exceptional statistics to have a significant impact on the Cy Young race.
Detroit ranks 26th in baseball for run production, making it unlikely for them to accumulate many wins.
Excluding the abbreviated 2020 season due to COVID, the previous nine recipients of the AL Cy Young Award have all achieved a minimum of 18 victories. In addition, 12 out of the last 13 winners have maintained an earned run average (ERA) under 3.00.
The Tigers organization is not expected to take many risks with Mize this season, particularly in terms of pushing him with high pitch counts. They will also prioritize caution when it comes to handling minor injuries.
For this bet to yield a significant profit and greatly impact sportsbooks, it is crucial for all the stars to align.
Mize will be taking the mound on Friday, facing off against the Kansas City Royals, who currently lead the AL Central division.
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