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The people of Michigan are thrilled about the comeback of Detroit Tigers baseball and the revival of Opening Day, which is celebrated as an unofficial statewide holiday.
Bookmakers and everyone else have no illusions about the Tigers soaring to victory and claiming any pennants this season.
Michigan sports bettors are turning their attention towards the west, placing their hopes on a team that the Tigers had thwarted from clinching a World Series victory back in 1984, during Detroit’s last championship.
According to information from DraftKings, the San Diego Padres enjoy unparalleled support in Michigan compared to any other team in any other state.
1 of 3 Michigan dollars on San Diego Padres to win World Series
Given the Tigers’ slim chances of winning the MLB championship at +10000 odds, bettors in Michigan are increasingly favoring the Padres.
DraftKings reports that one-third of the World Series futures handle in Michigan is placed on San Diego, indicating strong support for the team to secure its inaugural World Series victory.
The Padres have the highest percentage among non-home-state teams in all 11 states offering DraftKings mobile wagering. On a national level, they rank fifth in terms of handle in MLB, with a 11% share.
“What’s with all the affection for Michigan? Well, if we ponder the other options, as mentioned by Johnny Avello, the head of race and sportsbook at DraftKings.”
He stated that their initial realization was that they couldn’t place bets on the Tigers. Therefore, the question arises: where should they turn to now? It is unlikely that Michigan fans would support the Yankees from New York or the Dodgers from Los Angeles.
You would expect them to consider the (Chicago) White Sox or perhaps the (Chicago) Cubs. However, the Padres, who have already made it to the playoffs and now have a solid pitching staff, seem to be a good option as well. So, it’s not a bad choice.
Padres have made big offseason improvements
San Diego, having made it to the playoffs last season, made significant moves this offseason by securing two top-tier pitchers on back-to-back days.
Adding Blake Snell from the Tampa Bay Rays and Yu Darvish from the Chicago Cubs to Dinelson Lamet, the Padres have now assembled one of the most formidable starting staffs in baseball.
Afterwards, San Diego made it clear that they were committed for the long term by extending phenom Fernando Tatis Jr.’s contract for 14 seasons. This agreement will end just six months before new reliever Mark Melancon turns 50.
The San Diego team is ranked third with +800 odds to win the World Series, trailing behind the Los Angeles Dodgers (+350) and the New York Yankees (+550).
According to Steve Buchanan, the lead MLB analyst for DraftKings, the Padres offer tremendous value at +800. He suggests that if the Padres were placed in any other division, they would undoubtedly be the favorites to win.
Regrettably, the Padres find themselves in the NL West alongside the formidable Dodgers, who have spared no effort in fortifying their team. Nevertheless, the Padres possess a genuine chance of securing victory in the World Series.
The reason behind this is logical as the odds of the Padres winning are more than double compared to the Dodgers. In my opinion, the Padres possess a superior team compared to the Dodgers, and this viewpoint is not an uncommon one. When you examine the Padres’ rotation from top to bottom, it is nearly invincible.
Jake Cronenworth, a Michigan alumnus hailing from St. Clair, brings a touch of local Michigan essence to San Diego. This versatile infielder made an impressive mark, securing third place in the National League Rookie of the Year voting during the previous year.
Rookie pitcher Casey Mize only Tigers player drawing wagers
Despite pitching in seven games last season, Tigers’ right-hander Casey Mize remains eligible for rookie status.
The team’s top prospect is making waves in the AL Rookie of the Year rankings, currently tied for seventh place on the DraftKings list with odds of +1500. He has garnered a 2% share of the national betting pool to secure the award.
According to Buchanan, regaining the command that Mize demonstrated during his time in the minors is crucial, along with improving his 4.1 walks-per-nine-innings rate from last year.
Buchanan expressed the idea that we can collectively discard 2020 and begin anew, without placing too much significance on what we witnessed last year. She emphasized that the data we gathered was not extensive.
According to Buchanan, Mize at 15-to-1 offers promising odds since he is expected to remain in the major leagues throughout the season. In contrast, players like Jarred Kelenic (+1000) from Seattle, Wander Franco (+1000) from Tampa Bay, and Adley Rutschman (+1200) from Baltimore will start the year in the minors.
Mize is receiving a 2% share of AL Cy Young bets, with odds set at +5000.
Manning, Skubal, Torkelson also on Rookie of the Year board
Rookie of the Year odds for Detroit’s right-handed pitcher, Matt Manning, stand at +3000. Meanwhile, the left-handed pitcher Tarik Skubal and infielder Spencer Torkelson both have odds of +5000.
Torkelson, the top pick in last season’s MLB Draft, is set to begin his career in the minors and there is uncertainty about whether he will play for Detroit this season. Similarly, Manning will also be starting his journey in the minors.
According to Buchanan, the odds for Chicago’s Andrew Vaughn have recently changed from +1500 to +1250. This adjustment is partly due to the unfortunate injury of Eloy Jimenez, which will keep the White Sox power hitter sidelined for a considerable period of time. Currently, Vaughn is receiving 44% of the bets placed to be the frontrunner among AL candidates.
Hometown Tigers still generating dark-horse MI handle
The Detroit Tigers’ baseball odds continue to receive support from Michigan bettors, who are showing their hometown love. They currently rank third in terms of betting volume, with 10% of bets being placed on them at odds of +10000.
The Dodgers remain the top choice to win, with 15% of the total betting money in Michigan placed on them. The Yankees rank fourth, with 7% of the betting money, followed by Houston at fifth place with 6%.
The Yankees are currently leading the handle for American League champions with 71%, while the Dodgers are significantly ahead in NL title bets, generating 74% of the handle.
Despite their push for the World Series, the Padres find themselves ranked fifth in NL championship bets, with a 4% handle and odds of +390.
The over/under wins total for the Detroit Tigers baseball team is 68.5 at DraftKings. The odds for the over are +101, while the under is priced at -125. Nationally, 65% of the bets are placed on the Tigers falling short, whereas 35% of the wagers predict 69 wins or more.
However, for the 8,000-plus baseball enthusiasts attending Comerica Park on Thursday, simply being back at the ballpark after over a year should be a satisfying victory to kick off 2021.
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