Will HBO’s Hard Knocks Affect Detroit Lions Futures Odds At Michigan Sportsbooks?

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Written By Drew Ellis on August 8, 2022

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Although the NFL season is still a month away from kickoff, Detroit Lions fans may have a unique perspective on things.

The team will make their first appearance in HBO’s ‘Hard Knocks’ 2022 edition on Tuesday.

This year’s edition of the annual documentary showcasing an NFL football team during training camp will spotlight Michigan’s very own team.

Will both Lions fans and NFL fans feel proud of Detroit after the show, or will they be left with a sense of embarrassment, collectively holding their hands over their heads?

Could it be possible that Michigan sports bettors will witness an improvement in the Detroit Lions’ odds for the season once the show concludes?

What is HBO ‘Hard Knocks’?

From 2001 onwards, HBO initiated a tradition of airing a documentary miniseries every training camp, highlighting a distinct NFL team each time.

Fresh off their Super Bowl season the year before, the Baltimore Ravens were the inaugural team to feature on ‘Hard Knocks’. Since then, a total of 13 different teams have participated in the docuseries, showcasing their training camp experiences. Now, the Detroit Lions are set to become the 14th team to join the ranks of ‘Hard Knocks’.

During the training camp, fans are given exclusive access to behind-the-scenes action. This five-week show hones in on various coaches and players, providing an immersive experience of their training camp journey.

The episodes are scheduled to be broadcasted on HBO every Tuesday night at 10 p.m. ET for a duration of five weeks. Additionally, viewers will have the option to stream the episodes on HBO Max, with each episode becoming available around the time of its premiere on HBO.

Detroit Lions futures odds already improving

When the Lions began their training camp, it was evident that there is currently a sense of optimism surrounding the 2022 team.

The Lions are poised for a potential improvement this season, as they have made significant strides in the NFL Draft and received positive feedback during the offseason.

Although ‘Hard Knocks’ may not always showcase a franchise in the best light, the show’s overall intention is to shed a positive perspective. If the NFL didn’t believe in this, they would not have allowed the show to continue for multiple decades.

There is a possibility of a future boost in Detroit’s odds for the season if Dan Campbell and the Lions manage to win over fans nationwide.

Conversely, a humiliating performance by the franchise could significantly diminish their chances even more.

Before the NFL Draft began, BetMGM Michigan had the Lions’ odds listed as follows:

  • The odds of winning the Super Bowl are +15000.
  • The NFC champion’s odds are +6600.
  • The NFC North champion odds are set at +1200.
  • The season win total is set at 6.5, with the Over option having odds of +120 and the Under option having odds of -150.
  • The odds of them making the playoffs are +500.

Currently, the odds for the Lions at BetMGM are as follows:

  • The odds of winning the Super Bowl are +12500 for the champion team.
  • The NFC champion has odds of +5000.
  • The NFC North champion odds are set at +850.
  • The season win total is set at 6.5, with the odds being -125 for the over and +105 for the under.
  • The question is, will they qualify for the playoffs with odds of +375?

Campbell is gaining momentum in the race for Coach of the Year. According to FanDuel Sportsbook MI, Campbell’s odds of winning the honor this year are listed at +1600. Only two other coaches, Staley and Daboll, have slightly better odds at +1400.

Will Hard Knocks impact Aidan Hutchinson player prop odds?

As the show emphasizes individual players, it is likely that their individual player prop odds will also see an improvement.

Jared Goff has appeared on the show twice, first as a member of the Los Angeles Rams in 2016 and later in 2020.

This year marks Goff’s second season with the Lions, and according to numerous camp reports, he appears to be in excellent form.

DraftKings Sportsbook MI has set Goff’s passing yards over/under for the season at 3,700.5, with his passing touchdowns over/under at 23.5. Additionally, Goff is considered a longshot at +20000 for the NFL MVP. The Lions coaching staff has been advocating for Goff to deliver better performance this year, and viewers can expect to witness this on the show ‘Hard Knocks.’

Aidan Hutchinson, the anticipated No. 2 overall draft pick in 2022, is expected to showcase his talent with a rendition of ‘Billie Jean’ on Tuesday night.

The Michigan defensive end has emerged as one of the top contenders for the NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year award, with odds set at +550. Furthermore, his chances for winning the Defensive Player of the Year award are listed at +15000. When it comes to sacks, DraftKings has set the over/under benchmark for Hutchinson’s rookie year at 7.25.

Amon-Ra St. Brown, a second-year receiver, has an intriguing narrative. Despite being a 4th-round pick, he emerged as a key target for Goff towards the end of the previous season. DraftKings has set his reception over/under for this season at 78.5, while his receiving yards over/under stands at 850.5. Additionally, his over/under for receiving touchdowns is placed at 5.5.

Teams featured on Hard Knocks have had mixed results

There are individuals who may express their belief that being featured on ‘Hard Knocks’ poses an undesirable distraction for both coaches and players.

Although there have been some nightmarish situations that unfolded, one of the most notable was the Antonio Brown saga during the 2019 Oakland Raiders season.

Nevertheless, it seems that some franchises have actually thrived as a result of their appearance on the show.

Over the past decade, a total of four distinct teams, which were showcased on the HBO show, successfully made it to the playoffs in their respective seasons.

Over the past decade, HBO has profiled the training camps of various teams and here is a summary of their performance in the respective seasons.

  • In 2021, the Dallas Cowboys had a record of 12 wins and 5 losses, but unfortunately, they were defeated in the Wild Card Playoffs.
  • In 2020, the L.A. Rams had a record of 10-6 and unfortunately lost in the Divisional Playoffs. On the other hand, the L.A. Chargers finished with a record of 7-9.
  • In 2019, the Oakland Raiders finished their season with a record of 7 wins and 9 losses.
  • The Cleveland Browns finished the 2018 season with a record of 7 wins, 8 losses, and 1 tie.
  • In 2017, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers finished the season with a record of 5 wins and 11 losses.
  • The Los Angeles Rams had a 4-12 record in 2016.
  • In 2015, the Houston Texans had a record of 9-7 and reached the Wild Card Playoffs, but unfortunately, they were unable to advance further in the tournament.
  • In 2014, the Atlanta Falcons finished the season with a record of 6 wins and 10 losses.
  • In 2013, the Cincinnati Bengals had a record of 11 wins and 5 losses, but unfortunately, they were eliminated in the Wild Card Playoffs.
  • In 2012, the Miami Dolphins finished the season with a record of 7 wins and 9 losses.

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