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The Detroit Lions’ unexpected late surge against the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, resulting in a victory against the spread, can be seen as a moral triumph in a season with low expectations for real wins. This unforeseen outcome also proved to be a pleasant surprise for those involved in Michigan sports betting, akin to a backdoor score.
In a game that probably jolted you awake from your mid-game nap, the Lions managed to transform a daunting 28-point deficit into a 41-33 loss to San Francisco by scoring 16 points within a span of less than 4 minutes. Jared Goff showcased his skills in the latter part of the game, while the Lions successfully retrieved an onside kick thanks to George Kittle’s helmet and even pulled off two successful two-point conversions.
However, for a majority of Lions bettors, it was simply another letdown and loss, as the franchise has become accustomed to disappointing on Sundays. (Editor’s note: As we discussed in our previous article, we examined the Lions’ record against the spread over the past 20 years.)
Detroit Lions only back-door covered for bettors who got in late
Prior to the influx of NFL odds, we discussed the significance of keeping an eye on key numbers while placing football bets. While 8 may not hold as much importance as 3 or 7 in this scenario, it is evident that even the smallest advantage can be beneficial.
Sunday provided a perfect example of how the person you choose to place your bet with, and the timing of it, can be even more crucial than the actual person or team you bet on.
In May, operators began unveiling NFL game lines to fulfill the eager betting demands of the public.
During that period, the Lions were generally considered a 7.5-point underdog against the 49ers, occasionally dropping to a 7-point spread at certain operators.
The 7.5-point spread remained consistent during training camp and leading up to game week. However, there was a late shift that increased the spread to 9.5 points at most bookmakers by the start of the game. This became the highest kickoff number for Week 1.
The outcome is straightforward: If you bet on the Lions with a spread of +7 or +7.5, you ended up losing. Those who placed their bets at +8 had a tie, while those who wagered higher experienced an intense suspense as they witnessed a remarkable last-minute cover.
Operator information largely incomplete on when money comes in
Sports betting operators actively disseminate information to reporters and other influential figures in the gambling industry in order to enhance brand visibility in the lead-up to football Sundays and throughout the day.
Typically, they provide updates on the percentage of bets placed on each side of a point spread, moneyline, or total, along with the prevailing odds.
This information is typically valuable, and we generally share most of it after providing the necessary context. However, it does overlook a crucial aspect: the specific amount of money received at a particular stage.
Collecting and processing a significant amount of information can often feel overwhelming and ultimately prove to be inconsequential. However, in a situation like Sunday’s game against the Lions, all the gathered information was crucial in understanding the complete narrative.
After Sunday’s game, we contacted multiple sportsbooks in search of more detailed information for the next stage, but unfortunately, our efforts were largely unsuccessful.
However, an operator shared a story that is probably typical for most Lions bettors: the majority still ended up losing.
BetMGM says most Lions bettors still lost, anyways
Out of all the sportsbooks, BetMGM was the most transparent in providing information about Sunday’s game.
The spokesperson revealed that a significant majority of the funds wagered on the Lions vs. 49ers spread, precisely 70%, were placed at the 7.5-point mark. This is noteworthy given that the game ultimately concluded at 9 points.
Therefore, the majority of spread bettors on Lions did not emerge victorious.
BetMGM had previously revealed that the majority of bets, accounting for 75% of the spread handle, were placed on San Francisco. Fortunately, those who placed an early bet on the 49ers with a -7.5 spread emerged victorious.
This is also great news for numerous individuals in Michigan. The operator announced on Sunday that the percentage of bets placed on the 49ers was the highest compared to any other game on the betting board for Michigan bettors. Additionally, the Lions-49ers game was the third most popular NFL game for bets across the country, encompassing various betting methods, as of Monday.
The key lesson Lions fans have acquired throughout the years is that they have become cautious, regardless of the absence of legal betting options in their area.
This week, BetMGM has partnered with Playinmichigan to present an exclusive opportunity for you to test your luck. By signing up and placing a $10 bet, you have the chance to win $200 on any college football or NFL game happening this weekend. Notably, this offer surpasses their alternative offer available elsewhere, which necessitates a $20 bet.
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Most Lions-49ers spread money was on SF, though that info is also incomplete
Regarding the remaining operators, we possess certain data on the overall betting figures; however, they did not disclose the timing and specific amounts of the incoming money.
Most likely, the majority of Lions bets were unsuccessful due to the line not shifting until game week, and especially after the news of Taylor Decker’s injury surfaced late in the week.
- According to a spokesperson, the spread initially started at 7.5 but increased to 9.5 before the start of the game due to a significant amount of bets favoring the 49ers. However, even those who bet on the 49ers at that number ended up losing, resulting in the sportsbooks winning those late bets as well.
- The line for San Francisco started at -7.5 but eventually closed at 9.5 on DraftKings Sportsbook. Unfortunately, there was no information available about the betting breakdown. This shift in spread was the most frequent occurrence.
- According to FanDuel Sportsbook, 77% of the spread handle was placed on San Francisco, while the remaining 23% was wagered on Detroit.
- There was no further breakdown available, but San Francisco received 79% of the spread action at PointsBet Sportsbook.
- On Sunday morning, an astonishing 96% of spread bets placed at WynnBET Sportsbook were in favor of the 49ers, leaving only a mere 4% for Detroit. The book had established an 8.5-point line at that moment, hence the outcome, whether the bets were successful or not, remains unknown.
Nick’s Story: A bad beat, blow by blow
You’re likely familiar with the bad beat story, though it’s merely a collection of numbers.
If you’re not aware, take a peek at the Twitter timeline of a Michigan sports fan to witness a real-time example of a devastating loss.
Introducing Nick Henkel, an entertaining NBA podcaster, vibrant personality, video creator, and content producer. He is a must-follow for all Detroit Pistons enthusiasts, offering an enjoyable experience for fans.
On Sunday at 9:05 a.m. EST, Nick, just like numerous Michiganders, was engaging in some betting activities. He shared a screenshot of his Same Game Parlay bet, which he had placed using bonus cash at FanDuel.
We also admire Nick’s “emotional hedging” technique, where he bets against his team. This strategy allows him to potentially win either with his emotions or financially. Looking back, his tweet with the line “I can literally never lose” is truly unforgettable.
The 4-leg parlay had a price of $10 and had the potential to win $791.46 if all legs were successful, which was considered highly improbable. The legs included:
- The point spread for the 49ers game is -9.5.
- D’Andre Swift scores a touchdown at some point in the game.
- T.J. Hockenson accumulated over 80 receiving yards.
- Deebo Samuel will score a touchdown at some point.
You are already aware of the direction this is heading towards.
It’s unfortunate to witness, and although it’s guilt-inducing, Nick generously provides us with a detailed account of a terrible outcome. As the moments go by, it gradually becomes highly likely that Nick will walk away with an impressive sum of almost $800, making it hard not to feel sorry for him while also finding it amusing.
Afterwards, the young man’s victory is snatched away by the back-door cover. It is worth noting that Nick failed to mention hedging the spread result, a crucial aspect to consider in any close parlay.
Hopefully, we live and acquire knowledge along the way.
If we maintain an enjoyable and entertaining atmosphere, it is likely that we will return and place another bet in the future.
Can you please rewrite the following sentence? <br><br>”The cat is sitting on the mat.”
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