Detroit Lions Prop Bets Tracker: Jared Goff Bets Are Likely Nail-Biters

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Written By Danny Lawhon on November 10, 2021
Detroit Lions Prop Bets November 2021

Can you please rephrase this for me?

I can’t help but feel a twinge of guilt for bringing up these matters once more. Well, almost.

As the 2021 NFL season reaches its midpoint, with nine weeks out of a total of 18 completed, the Detroit Lions have already participated in eight out of their 17 scheduled games.

All of them have been lost.

Fortunately, the state of Michigan’s sports betting market might offer you a more favorable position than going completely winless with the Lions, depending on your spread bets. Throughout this season, Detroit has been following a pattern of winning and losing against the spread on a weekly basis.

Additionally, it’s possible that you have been participating in player prop markets by making some bets. As we have reached the crucial halfway mark, it is now appropriate to assess the progress of both team and player goals.

By now, you’re probably familiar with our routine. However, we will revisit the season-long bets, such as division, conference, and win totals, approximately every fourth week. Additionally, after each game, we will take a look at statistics-driven prop bets.

After the Lions journey to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers, the subsequent update will be released.

Keep in mind that in a 17-game season, each week represents approximately 5.9% of your total season. Therefore, with eight Lions games completed, we have reached the 47.1% milestone in the campaign.

Detroit Lions at Pittsburgh Steelers: Week 10 NFL Odds

Season-long BetMGM props

  • The Detroit Lions, with odds of +700 for making the playoffs and -1100 for not making the playoffs, have a current record of 0-8. Based on their performance so far, it seems highly unlikely that they will secure a spot in the playoffs.
  • The charts displaying scaled over/under win totals range from 1.5 (over -1600, under +800) to 9.5 (over +1100, under -3000). Just a month ago, I had the belief that the Lions could potentially win four games. However, as the weeks progress, the under 1.5 mark at +800 seems to be proving more accurate.
  • The precise regular-season numbers vary with odds ranging from +450 (applicable for 4 or 5) to +100000 (applicable for 15, 16, or 17). However, due to a series of unfortunate events, it is plausible that they may not achieve any of these milestones.
  • The most likely outcome to bring success is winning the Super Bowl (+25000), while missing the playoffs (-1100) is the stage with the highest probability of elimination. However, losing the wild card (+1000), losing the divisional (+1600), and losing the NFC title game (+10000) are also stages that could lead to elimination. The least likely outcome is losing the Super Bowl (+15000).
  • During the Week of Lions’ first win and loss, the Week 1 defeat resulted in a significant -350 return in most markets. However, the narrative of their first victory remains uncertain and open to interpretation.
  • There are numerous opportunities for big payouts on the losing side as the Lions have potential to either begin with a 4-0, 0-4, 6-0, or 0-6 record.
  • There are three more games remaining in the +400 market, where you either win all six division games with odds of +25000, or lose all six with odds of +400.
  • To have a chance at winning, you must secure victories in all home or away games, each worth a whopping +100000. However, if you fail to do so, losses in these games will cost you +1600 at home and +400 on the road. It’s important to note that the outcome is still uncertain even with the possibility of losing everything on the line.
  • Is it possible for a game to end in a tie? (+1600 Yes) — … It has always been uncertain and reliant on luck.

Detroit Lions DraftKings special prop bets

DraftKings Sportsbook not only provided standard team futures but also included a range of unique regular-season betting markets and parlay combinations.

D’Andre Swift over 51.5 receptions AND Breshad Perriman (now with the Chicago Bears) over 740.5 receiving yards, +250

Swift had 47 receptions, while Perriman did not gain any yards.

It is worth mentioning that Perriman was released by the Chicago Bears without even getting a chance to play in a game. However, he recently joined the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and is currently part of their practice squad. It is important to note that he was also let go by the Lions during the preseason. Therefore, this bet can be considered as a failure.

Jamaal Williams over 725.5 rushing yards AND T.J. Hockenson over 5.5 receiving touchdowns, +225

Williams had a total of 312 yards, while Hockenson managed to score 2 touchdowns.

Jared Goff over 21.5 touchdown passes AND D’Andre Swift over 7.5 rushing touchdowns AND T.J. Hockenson over 775.5 receiving yards, +550

Goff recorded 8 touchdowns, Swift scored 3 touchdowns, and Hockenson accumulated 448 yards.

Romeo Okwara over 8.5 sacks AND Amon-Ra St. Brown over 500.5 receiving yards, +275

Okwara had 1 sack, while St. Brown gained 250 yards.

It is worth mentioning that Okwara is said to have experienced a torn Achilles tendon during the game against the Bears in Week 4. Unfortunately, this injury is expected to end his season prematurely, which in turn affects the outcome of this bet.

Lions-focused DraftKings match prop bets

In addition, DraftKings offered several head-to-head bets specifically featuring players from the Lions.

More passing yards: Jared Goff (-150) vs. Ryan Fitzpatrick (+115)

Goff amassed a total of 1,995 yards, while Fitzpatrick only managed to gain 13 yards.

It is worth mentioning that Fitzpatrick’s hip injury has taken longer to recover than initially anticipated, keeping him sidelined for the first half of the season. Consequently, Goff seems to have a secure advantage and is poised to emerge as the victor, regardless of how the remainder of the season unfolds.

More passing touchdowns: Jared Goff (-110) vs. Zach Wilson (-120)

Goff has scored 8 touchdowns, while Wilson has scored 4 touchdowns.

It’s worth mentioning that Goff continues to benefit from the injury bug, as Wilson is still sidelined with a sprained PCL in his right knee.

More rushing yards: D’Andre Swift (-165) vs. Mike Davis (+120)

Swift had 289 yards, while Davis had 271 yards.

More rushing touchdowns: D’Andre Swift (-130) vs. David Montgomery (+100)

Montgomery scores three touchdowns, while Swift also finds the endzone three times.

It’s worth mentioning that Montgomery didn’t manage to score a rushing touchdown last week after returning from an injury that kept him sidelined for over a month. Meanwhile, Swift was unable to gain an advantage during that same period. Considering this, I have concerns about his prospects.

Select Detroit Lions 2021 NFL player prop bets

Jared Goff NFL props

As of 2021, the total passing yards achieved is 1,995.

  • The line on FanDuel Sportsbook is set at 4,015.5 with equal odds of -112 for both over and under bets.
  • The line for DraftKings is 3,995.5 with odds of -115 for both sides.
  • BetMGM Sportsbook offers a betting line of 3,995.5 with odds of -110 for both sides.

There have been 8 passing touchdowns.

  • For DraftKings, the line is set at 20.5 with the over at -110 and the under at -120.
  • BetMGM has set the line for this particular event at 20.5, with the over option having odds of -115 and the under option having odds of -110.

There have been six interceptions.

  • The over/under for DraftKings is set at 13.5, with both the over and under options having odds of -115.

It is worth mentioning that these games are likely to be very competitive. Unfortunately, this is not good news for either Goff or the Lions.

T.J. Hockenson NFL props

448 yards were gained in receiving.

  • The FanDuel total is set at 775.5 points, with the over option having odds of -118 and the under option having odds of -108.
  • The over/under for DraftKings is set at 770.5, with both options carrying an odds of -115.
  • The over/under for BetMGM is set at 775.5, with odds of -110 for both the over and under bets.

Two touchdowns were received.

  • DraftKings offers odds of 5, with the over at -120 and the under at -110.

There are 48 receptions.

  • The over/under for DraftKings is set at 77.5, with odds of -115 for both the over and the under.

It should be noted that Hockenson is surpassing expectations in terms of the major statistical categories after eight games, although he has not scored any touchdowns since Week 2. This trend will need to be reversed in the near future.

D’Andre Swift NFL props

289 rushing yards

  • FanDuel offers a betting line of 875.5, with odds of -102 for the over and -126 for the under.
  • The DraftKings line is set at 900.5, with the over option at -110 and the under option at -120.
  • The over/under for BetMGM is set at 900.5, with both options available at -110 odds.

There were a total of three rushing touchdowns.

  • The odds for DraftKings are 8.5 with +110 for over and -140 for under.

There have been 47 receptions.

  • The over/under for DraftKings is set at 52.5, with odds of -110 for both options.

Important to mention: Receptions guarantee success unless there is an injury. Rushing yards guarantee failure unless a miracle occurs. Rushing touchdowns are in need of assistance.

Romeo Okwara NFL props

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  • The over/under betting line for DraftKings is set at 7.5 with odds of +110 for the over and -140 for the under.

It is worth mentioning that the Achilles tendon tear also has an impact on this bet.

Featured Detroit Lions NFL award futures

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