Michigan Is Big Ten’s NCAA Survivor As Men’s Sweet 16 Approaches

Written By Derek Helling on March 23, 2021Last Updated on March 25, 2021
Michigan's March Madness Odds 2021

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The farmer in the dell was mistaken. The Michigan Wolverines are the sole representatives of the Big Ten Conference in the NCAA Tournament. Michigan sportsbooks now exclusively offer March Madness odds for the Wolverines.

Several MI sports betting apps are predicting that Michigan, the No. 1 seed in the East Region, will advance to the Elite Eight. It is worth noting that there are certain similarities between the Wolverines and their Sweet 16 opponent, No. 4 seed Florida State, which bettors should consider.

Michigan a slight favorite in NCAA Tournament’s Sweet 16

According to MI sportsbook operators, the Wolverines are favored by either 2.5 or 3 points in their upcoming game against Florida State on Sunday. The game is scheduled to start at 5 p.m. ET and will be televised on CBS.

Michigan easily defeated Texas Southern in the opening round with a 16-point lead. In an exciting second-round match on Monday, Michigan emerged victorious with a final score of 86-78 against LSU. Florida State, on the other hand, has been averaging a modest 67.5 points per game in the tournament. However, their victories over UNC Greensboro and Colorado were comfortable, with an average winning margin of 14 points.

However, the Wolverines have managed to secure impressive scores of 82 and 86 in their previous two games. Achieving a similar outcome might just be sufficient to eliminate Florida State from the competition, but it will undoubtedly pose a formidable challenge.

Michigan had four of their starters score in double figures in their game against Texas Southern. Additionally, Eli Brooks and Chaundee Brown had impressive performances against LSU. The team’s multi-threat attack will play a crucial role in not just covering the spread, but also determining the point total for Sunday’s game.

According to Ken Pomeroy’s advanced statistics, Florida State is ranked among the top 30 defensive teams. In their tournament games, they held both of their opponents to shooting under 36% from the field. In contrast, the Seminoles displayed impressive efficiency by shooting 52% in both of those games.

If FSU manages to replicate those results on Sunday, they have a chance to cover this narrow margin.

Wolverines, Seminoles have efficient offenses, capable defenses

The game’s total points range from 144 to 145, depending on the app you’re using. Similar to Florida State, Michigan has maintained a high shooting percentage in their first two games, averaging 50.9%.

Will the efficient defenses or offenses prevail on Sunday, considering that Brooks, Brown, and crew were able to hold both opponents under 40% from the field?

Throughout the season, when considering both teams collectively, they have maintained an impressive average of 154.8 points. FSU, with an average of 78 points, ranks among the top 40 teams nationwide.

It should be mentioned that, when considering a larger sample, Florida State’s opponents had a combined shooting percentage of 39.3%. In order for the Wolverines to score over 145 points in this game, they may require a greater number of possessions.

In their previous game, Michigan took 54 shots, while in the round of 64 they attempted 52 shots. This is similar to what FSU’s two opponents managed, with 56 and 60 shots respectively. Therefore, those who bet on the over should have confidence that the Wolverines will either shoot at their typical percentage or take a significantly higher number of field goal attempts on Sunday night.

Both teams have a strong track record of outperforming their opponents on the court with significant leads. Although the statistics indicate a close game, it is challenging to predict how this will impact the overall outcome.

Michigan’s title, Final Four futures odds fluctuate slightly

With the Wolverines being the sole remaining Big Ten team out of the 16 men’s squads in the tournament, there have been notable fluctuations in the futures markets. Prior to the tournament, BetMGM Sportsbook had Michigan’s March Madness odds set at +600 for winning it all.

On Michigan, the odds have increased to +900, indicating longer lines. At DraftKings Sportsbook, the Wolverines are now listed at +175 to win two additional games and advance to the Final Four.

The outcome of future games will not only rely on defeating Florida State but also on the teams advancing to the Elite Eight. If Creighton or Villanova manages to beat Gonzaga or Baylor, for example, the chances of Michigan winning the championship will significantly increase.

Michigan will be the sole Big Ten team remaining in 2021, regardless of whether FSU concludes the Wolverines’ season on Sunday night.

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