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Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles Rams are still strong contenders in the Super Bowl odds with only three weeks remaining in the 2021 NFL regular season.
After a challenging victory against the Seattle Seahawks on Tuesday night, with a score of 20-10, the Rams are still in a tie for the second-highest record in the NFC.
Are oddsmakers at legal Michigan sportsbooks confident in Stafford’s ability to succeed with the Rams?
Stafford, Rams a game out of first in NFC
After securing a victory on Tuesday, Los Angeles’ season record now stands at 10-4.
The Rams are currently one game behind the Green Bay Packers in the NFC standings, while also being tied with the Arizona Cardinals for first place in the NFC West division race.
Currently, the Cardinals hold the tiebreaker over the Rams due to their superior 4-1 division record. Meanwhile, the Rams stand at 3-2 in the NFC West. Both teams have one more game left within the division, scheduled for Week 18.
The outcome of the tiebreaker is crucial considering the current records of four NFC teams standing at 10-4. The team that secures second place in the West division will be disadvantaged by having to play away in the opening round of the playoffs. Conversely, the victorious team could potentially secure the No. 2 seed or even claim the top spot with a first-round bye, if circumstances align favorably.
Rams still on the outside of Super Bowl chase
Despite being contenders for the best record, oddsmakers still perceive the Rams as facing a challenging journey.
According to BetMGM Sportsbook, the Rams are currently listed with a +135 odds to win the NFC West, while the Cardinals have odds of -165.
It is worth noting that in the conference race, the Rams are currently listed at +450 by BetMGM for winning, placing them third behind the Packers and the defending champions, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Presently, Green Bay holds the position of favorite with +230 odds, while Tampa stands at +270. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are listed at +750.
The Rams are currently listed at +900 in the Super Bowl race, placing them among the top contenders. However, there are only three teams with higher chances of winning. These teams include the Packers (+475), the Kansas City Chiefs (+475), and the Bucs (+550).
Rams remain a top liability for sportsbooks
According to BetMGM’s numbers, the Rams are still considered a significant liability despite potentially receiving support from Stafford fans in Michigan.
Behind the Cardinals and Bucs, they rank as the third-highest liability in Super Bowl wagers.
In the Super Bowl market, the Rams have secured 9.1% of the tickets and 7.5% of the handle, while Tampa leads in both categories with 10.4% of the tickets and 16.5% of the handle.
Among NFC teams, the Rams secure the sixth spot, receiving only 8.6% of the handle. The Packers dominate the handle category with 20.2%, while the Cardinals take the lead in ticket sales with 19.8%.
The Rams dominate the NFC West market, accounting for a remarkable 44% of the handle despite only holding 32% of the tickets. Meanwhile, Arizona holds 33% of the tickets and 32% of the handle.
Stafford still a top MVP option
Despite a decline in performance during the Rams’ 3-game losing streak, Matthew Stafford has made a strong recovery in recent weeks.
Stafford’s exceptional performance in the victory over Arizona on December 13th included 287 passing yards and three touchdowns. However, in Tuesday night’s game against Seattle, Stafford’s stats showed 244 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception.
Stafford’s current season has become his second-best career performance with a total of 35 touchdowns. His highest record of 41 touchdowns was achieved back in 2011 when he played for Detroit. Presently, Stafford is excelling with a career-best completion percentage of 67.6 and a rating of 108.2.
Stafford is still in contention for the NFL MVP title, currently holding +1600 odds at BetMGM. However, there are four players with better chances, with Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers leading the way as +150 co-favorites.
Stafford ranks third in terms of the highest number of tickets placed at 9.8%, yet only accounts for 6.9% of the total handle in the MVP market.
Brady holds a significant share of 25.8% in the race’s handle, thereby making him the highest risk in the market.
Cooper Kupp, Stafford’s teammate, has been creating quite an impact recently. Initially, he began the season with odds of +25000 to win the MVP title, but he has now improved his position to +4000.
Cupp’s impressive stats this season include 122 receptions, covering a distance of 1,625 yards, and scoring 14 touchdowns. With this outstanding performance, he is on track to challenge Calvin Johnson’s record of 1,964 yards set in the 2012 NFL season. Additionally, Cupp is striving to surpass Michael Thomas’ record of 149 receptions achieved in 2019.
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