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Those who placed bets on the first primetime Big Ten Conference game of the season might have gained valuable experience in sports betting tips on Thursday night.
This could potentially be a lesson that bettors all over the state may soon learn, possibly through a difficult experience.
The opening games for Michigan, Michigan State, and the Detroit Lions’ schedules all feature point spreads that closely align with significant numbers in the realm of sports betting.
Sometimes, the timing and location of your bets can be equally significant as the individuals or teams you are betting on.
As the first full football season with Michigan online sports betting kicks off, being alert stands out as one of the most crucial tips for newcomers.
Here, we will attempt to cover a few additional lessons to be learned.
Sportsbooks pay close attention when key numbers are involved
The sportsbooks have long been aware of key numbers; we are not the first ones to discover them.
The lines in football frequently change in the week leading up to the kickoff, but oddsmakers exercise caution while making adjustments, particularly around significant numbers.
If you’re interested, be sure to check out the valuable information on key numbers provided by our sister site, TheLines.com. Honestly, the site is so good that it’s worth bookmarking as well.
In summary, exercise caution when dealing with spreads like 3 and 7, and pay attention to the next tier of common spreads like 6, 10, and 14. Additionally, take note of even numbers like 4 and 17 due to the nature of football scores.
If you’re a football fan, it’s no surprise that these are the most common margins of victory. For additional tips, check out our NFL betting tips page.
Sportsbooks are fully aware of the impact of scoring on games, and they only adjust the point spread when there is a valid reason, typically due to a significant amount of betting activity. Moreover, you will notice that whenever the spread reaches or surpasses certain numbers, there is typically a substantial increase in the commission charged in order to attract bettors to the side with the more advantageous margin.
Michigan, Michigan State, Lions all around key numbers for openers
This season, it is evident that Michigan sports bettors will have a tendency to place a higher proportion of bets on the home teams.
We will closely follow the Spartans, Wolverines, and Lions more than others, hence it is logical that we would desire some personal investment. Alternatively, we may choose to protect ourselves emotionally by betting against our own team. In this way, even if our heart suffers a loss, our account still gains.
Michigan State entered Friday afternoon’s game as a 3.5-point underdog according to BetRivers Sportsbook, while Northwestern was favored by 3 at BetMGM Sportsbook. If Michigan State were to lose by 3 points (which is highly likely), it could lead to a significant win for one bettor and a tie (push) for another.
As of Friday afternoon, Michigan was favored by 16.5 points against Western Michigan at BetRivers for their Saturday match. However, at BetMGM, in order to support the Wolverines, you would need to place a bet with a 17-point spread.
Once again, there is a high possibility for this 17-point margin to occur!
The Lions Week 1 opener against San Francisco on Sept. 12 will involve the significant 7-point key number.
If you place your bet on the 49ers at DraftKings Sportsbook on Friday afternoon with a -7 spread, you will still receive a push if they win by 7 points. However, if you prefer the Lions, most other books are still offering them at the original 7.5-point spread.
The ultimate message for your financial outcome: Investing time in searching for the best options and staying updated with weekly fluctuations is valuable. The comparisons provided below further emphasize this crucial point.
Michigan State at Northwestern NCAAF odds
Michigan vs. Western Michigan NCAAF point spreads
49ers at Lions: Week 1 NFL odds
Ohio State football bettors could’ve won or lost based on timing
In Thursday night’s game, No. 4 Ohio State successfully dealt with Minnesota, although there were some tense moments. Ultimately, the Buckeyes emerged victorious with a 45-31 win over P.J. Fleck and the Gophers.
The game concluded with a 14-point margin, which is frequently observed in football.
The outcome had different implications for gamblers. While the majority of bettors had favored OSU to win by 14 points, some were encouraged by the result. Additionally, a group of astute bettors may have profited from either comparing different betting lines or placing their wager at the optimal moment.
Some books had Ohio State initially favored by 13.5 points, but the closing line increased to 14.5.
If you placed a bet at 13.5, it signifies that you were successful in your wager on OSU (while facing a loss with Minnesota). On the other hand, if you bet at 14.5, it implies that you experienced a loss with the Buckeyes but had a win with the Gophers.
Even the most experienced bettors might have managed to win on both sides by taking advantage of the point spread with MIN +14.5 and OSU -13.5.
Other sports betting tips to get you started
If we backtrack a little, there is additional crucial information worth noting.
Why don’t we revisit the fundamentals and provide you with a few useful resources?
- This page provides you with fundamental information on how to establish your sports betting account.
- Here’s a detailed explanation of the moneyline, a betting option that allows you to eliminate the stress of dealing with point spreads.
- This webpage offers a comprehensive overview of various aspects to consider when betting on the NFL regular season, along with valuable tips.
Avoiding #trendz is probably the way to go
It is crucial to be aware of this significant sports betting tip from the beginning: it is generally advised to steer clear of relying solely on “trends.” While various sources may discuss trends in betting, they might be intriguing but not necessarily practical or actionable.
Let’s imagine a fictional scenario that is clearly untrue: Suppose that in the past 11 encounters between Michigan and Ohio State, Michigan has successfully covered the spread in 10 of them.
Should you place your bets on the Wolverines this November at the Big House? Definitely not!
The teams and seasons were distinct from each other, so the outcomes shouldn’t significantly affect the 2021 game.
The Lions’ past statistics, including their tendency to surpass the point total in September games, hold no significance. The current coaching staff and roster in Allen Park create an entirely different dynamic, rendering the team’s past performance irrelevant.
Currently, there exist patterns pertaining to particular teams in particular years that might prove useful while placing bets. It is possible to engage in some cognitive acrobatics to attribute significance to specific trends while making a wager.
However, in general, trends are not very useful for making bets and should be disregarded, particularly in early September.
Week 1 NCAA football odds
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