Big Ten Betting: Michigan In Ominous Underdog Role Against Wisconsin

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Written By Drew Ellis on November 10, 2020Last Updated on November 11, 2020
Wisconsin vs. Michigan

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After being sidelined for two weeks, No. 13 Wisconsin has been given the green light to resume play, suggesting that Michigan will indeed have a game this week.

Could the Badgers’ time off result in a weak performance against a struggling Michigan team?

Is it possible for the Wolverines to rally together and achieve something they have yet to accomplish during the Jim Harbaugh era?

We should examine the odds and statistics prior to the Wisconsin vs. Michigan Big Ten clash.

Wisconsin vs. Michigan odds: Badgers favored on the road

The upcoming game will take place in Michigan, where the Michigan team with a record of 1-2 overall and 1-2 in the Big Ten will welcome the Wisconsin team, who currently holds a record of 1-0 overall and 1-0 in the conference.

  • The event will take place at Michigan Stadium in Ann Arbor.
  • Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Tune in: Catch the live broadcast of the game on ABC.

As of now, some sportsbooks are yet to provide odds for this game due to the ongoing COVID-19 situation in Wisconsin.

Nevertheless, Wisconsin is considered the frontrunner among those with established odds. DraftKings and FanDuel have set the Badgers’ odds at -3.5, while William Hill offers odds of -4. (Please note that the odds mentioned were last updated at 10:30 a.m. EST on November 11.)

Wisconsin at Michigan Week 11 odds BetMGM DraftKings FanDuel PointsBet William Hill
Point spread
(-110 juice unless noted)
WIS -4.5
U-M +4.5
WIS -4.5
U-M +4.5
WIS -4.5 -105
U-M +4.5 -115
WIS -4.5
U-M +4.5
WIS -4.5
U-M +4.5
Moneyline WIS -167
U-M +140
WIS -200
U-M +160
WIS -205
U-M +164
WIS -196
U-M +165
WIS -200
U-M +170
Total points
(-110 juice unless noted)
O 53.5
U 53.5
O 53.5 -113
U 53.5 -108
O 53.5
U 53.5
O 53.5
U 53.5
O 53.5
U 53.5

Wisconsin’s moneyline ranges from -167 to -178, whereas Michigan is listed between +135 and +150.

Two of the books have an over/under set at 51.5, while the other book has it set at 52.

Wisconsin has the upper hand heading into Saturday

Throughout the course of their NCAA football rivalry, Michigan has consistently dominated Wisconsin. With a remarkable record of 51 wins, 16 losses, and 1 tie, the Wolverines have firmly established their superiority in this matchup.

On the other hand, in the past eight games, Wisconsin has emerged victorious in five instances, making them the preferred choice for Michigan sports betting enthusiasts. Moreover, Wisconsin has successfully covered the spread in five out of the last six games against Michigan.

It is important to note another significant trend which indicates that under Harbaugh’s coaching, the Wolverines have yet to secure a victory in ten games where they were considered underdogs in betting.

Wisconsin is currently the favored team in public betting, with 70% of wagers placed in their favor.

Wolverines look lost against Indiana

Adding insult to injury for Michigan fans, not only did the Wolverines suffer a disappointing defeat against Michigan State at home, but they also faced another resounding loss on the road against Indiana, with a final score of 38-21.

Despite being favored in the betting, Michigan was unable to prevent the Hoosiers’ passing attack in Bloomington.

Michigan’s defense allowed a total of 460 yards to IU, with 342 of those yards coming from passing plays. This is the second game in a row where the Wolverines’ secondary has struggled.

Rocky Lombardi showcased his skills against MSU, accumulating an impressive 323 passing yards against Michigan. On the recent Saturday, Michael Penix Jr. delivered an exceptional performance, completing 30 of 50 passes for 342 yards and three touchdowns.

Despite their efforts to incorporate more zone coverage against Indiana, the Wolverines were unable to alter the final result. Consequently, Michigan’s passing defense is currently ranked 104th nationally.

Michigan was unable to showcase its renowned running game against Indiana, managing a mere 13 rushing yards on 18 attempts as a team.

Despite Joe Milton’s impressive performance of throwing for 344 yards and three touchdowns, his game was marred by two interceptions and the fact that he played from behind for the entire second half.

Badgers eager to get back to action

The Wisconsin football program has faced a challenging couple of weeks.

The Badgers were dealt a severe blow by the coronavirus following their commanding 45-7 victory over Illinois to commence their season.

In the past fortnight, the number of active virus cases within the program in Wisconsin reached a maximum of 27, resulting in the unfortunate cancellation of games against both Nebraska and Purdue.

As of Monday, the program recorded only five ongoing cases, with no new positive tests in five out of six days. This progress puts Wisconsin on course to resume practice this week and compete against the Wolverines.

Now, the current concern in Wisconsin revolves around the condition of quarterback Graham Mertz. Following his positive COVID-19 test, the Big Ten regulations state that players must observe a 21-day period of absence.

Coach Paul Chryst refused to provide a definitive answer on Mertz’s availability, despite the fact that he would be eligible to play against Michigan before his status expires.

The freshman quarterback had an outstanding performance in the solitary game of the season, completing 20 out of 21 passes for an impressive 248 yards and scoring five touchdowns against Illinois.

The Illini were limited to a mere 218 total yards by Wisconsin’s defense, with only 87 of those yards coming from passing. Conversely, Wisconsin amassed a total of 430 yards, with 182 of those yards achieved through rushing.

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